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I'd like to first cover/recover my comments
from the main page of this site.
It may be of interest if you find anything of value
on these pages to save them to your computer.
"As-is" This site will probably be taken down
in the near future.
(from the main page:)
The site's costs are no longer covered by the
donations (or lack thereof at present) so the
site's future is in doubt.
120,000+ hits is very impressive for a personal
roulette site like this one - but regardless of that
the funds to support this effort are not keeping
in line with the costs as planned.
I stated from the beginning that there is no
use in having this site for my own use - it is
for the benefit of those who find it of value.
If even a small percentage of the vast amount
of visitors that come here do not wish to support
it - then that's the way it goes.
I'll continue of course to post ideas and
systems at the VIP Lounge where I am
co-administrator...and perhaps someday
I'll begin another site, although I doubt
it will be done the same way.
Nothing here costs a penny.
Asking people to support it is another thing :)
If you see this as "begging" then you are wrong.
It this site is here or not does not depend on my
actions but those of the visitors.
This info I have (since I created all of it) in my own
records - so how (or why) would I "beg" for
donations in order to post these pages ?
Anyway, that's all for now - the site may be
updated in a week or so with more info on
methods/testing that is being worked on now.
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Predicting a win/trend.
How this test was performed :
Place 1.00 on #1 only each and every spin
When the number shows, note either a "+" or a "-" if
the overall bankroll balance has gone up or gone down.
- + + + + - + + + + + - - + - + - - - + - + + - +
- - + - - + - + - + - - - - + + + - - + + + + + - +
+ - + - + + + + - + + - - + - + + + + - - + - - +
+ + - + + - - - + + - - + + + + +
when charted for sequences that begin with the 1st "-" :
- + + + + 1 / 4
- + + + + + 1 / 5
- - + 2 / 1
- + 1 / 1
- - - + 3 / 1
- + + 1 / 2
- + 1 / 1
- - + 2 / 1
- - + 2 / 1
- + 1 / 1
- + 1 / 1
- - - - + + + 4 / 3
- - + + + + + 2 / 5
- + + 1 / 2
- + 1 / 1
- + + + + 1 / 4
- + + 1 / 2
- - + 2 / 1
- + + + + 1 / 4
- - + 2 / 1
- - + + + 2 / 3
- + + 1 / 2
- - - + + 3 / 2
- - + + + + + 2 / 5 (3,500 spins)
totals :
24 cycles 39 / 49
averages :
1.625 / 2.042
==== another test =======================
+ + + - - - + - - - + + + + + + + - + + + - + +
+ + - - + - - - + - - + + + + + - - + - + + - - +
+ - + - + + + + + + + + + - + + - - + + - + -
- + + + + + + - - + + + + + - + + + - + - -
when charted for sequences that begin with a "-" :
- - - + 3 / 1
- - - + + + + + + + 3 / 7
- + + + 1 / 3
- + + + + 1 / 4
- - + 2 / 1
- - - + 3 / 1
- - + + + + + 2 / 5
- - + 2 / 1
- + + 1 / 2
- - + + 2 / 2
- + 1 / 1
- + + + + + + + + + 1 / 9
- + + 1 / 2
- - + + 2 / 2
- + 1 / 1
- - + + + + + + 2 / 6
- - + + + + + 2 / 5
- + + + 1 / 3
- + 1 / 1 (3,500 more spins)
totals :
19 cycles 32 / 57
averages :
1.684 / 3.000
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=================================
So for 7k spins we have this for summary -
43 cycles total (when starting the cycle with a "-")
number of "-" vs number of "+" =
71 "-" / 106 "+"
averages being
1.651 "-" per cycle / 2.465 "+" per cycle
==================================
So......
If you chart / flat bet 1 unit on a single number, and it
loses in balance on a win (from the last win).....
you can expect it to lose 1.651 times until the losing "trend"
is over (ON AVERAGE).
At which point, you can also expect a winning "trend"
of 2.465 wins (ON AVERAGE) to follow this.
==================================
==================================
==================================
How to benefit from this (if it's even possible ?)
METHOD :
Chart a number (or flat bet 1 unit on it) and note the balance any
time the number wins.
Once it has lost (decreased your bankroll) 2 times in a row
(closest we can come to using the 1.651 figure) - then begin
betting on it, expecting that 2.465 winning cycles will follow.
(Closest we can come with this is 2 wins)
But let's be safe and play for only 1 win.
So to clarify -
1) Chart a number until it wins 2 times while dropping the balance
both times (if you're betting the min on it). -or- Note the number when
it goes >35 spins without showing, and this happens 2 times in a row.
Begin betting on it (higher unit value) and "expect" the next 1 win to
both produce a profit... then stop betting until qualified again.
and now to test this 1st method out on new spins - (rng)
1 unit (1.00) used to chart (using RX) and then when qualified
using 25 units (25.00) to play in order to try to make profits.
starting balance 0.00 (bet size is 1.00 on #1 only)
balance after the number wins :
(remember we are looking for 2 drops in a row before betting high units)
0.00
-10.00
+16.00
-18.00
-63.00 (qualified - now bet the high chip on #1) (25.00)
+487.00 (nice !) - and now we requalify
+511.00
+526.00
+560.00
+595.00
+543.00
+549.00
+581.00
+608.00
+630.00
+656.00
+629.00
+652.00
+603.00
+633.00
+650.00
+674.00
+696.00
+686.00
+700.00
+714.00
+732.00
+726.00
+720.00 (qualified)
+1,170.00 (nice again - and now we requalify)
+1,179.00
+1,145.00
+1,144.00 (qualified)
+1,869.00 (another nice win - requalify)
+1,861.00
+1,877.00
+1,863.00
+1,856.00 (qualified)
+2,456.00 (and another nice win - requalify)
+2,434.00
+2,463.00
+2,477.00
+2,496.00
+2,529.00
+2,557.00
+2,547.00
+2,541.00 (qualified)
-2,134.00 (sure didn't work this time, lost all profits previously won) (requalify)
-2,148.00
-2,119.00
-2,086.00
-2,109.00
-2,113.00 (qualified)
-1,463.00 (a quick win, made some of the loss back)
-1,442.00
-1,449.00
-1,449.00 (does not count to qualify - balance stayed the same)
-1,440.00
-1,431.00
-1,396.00
-1,367.00
-1,339.00
-1,306.00
-1,286.00
-1,277.00
-1,252.00
-1,282.00
-1,419.00 (qualified)
-744.00 (9th spin wins ! almost back to even)
-739.00
-725.00
-704.00
-718.00
-742.00 (qualified)
-692.00 (34th spin wins, still fighting back)
-720.00
-748.00 (qualified)
-998.00 (didn't do too well, qualify again)
-976.00
-976.00
-948.00
-919.00
-887.00
-902.00
-965.00 (qualified)
-390.00 (13th spin wins, working back to even - requalify)
-384.00
-361.00
-351.00
-402.00
-372.00
-383.00
-354.00
-366.00
-332.00
-298.00
-278.00
-261.00
-262.00
-264.00 (qualified)
+611.00 (1st spin wins !!! nice ! - back in profits - requalify)
+643.00
+658.00
+692.00
+721.00
+744.00
+698.00
+649.00 (qualified)
+999.00 (22nd spin wins, requalify)
+977.00
+1,004.00
+1,015.00
+1,011.00
+979.00 (qualified)
+1,079.00 (32nd spin wins, requalify)
+1,103.00
+1,129.00
+1,101.00
+1,116.00
+1,108.00
+1,038.00 (qualified)
+1,788.00 (6th spin wins, nice - requalify)
+1,823.00
+1,697.00
+1,688.00 (qualified)
+2,388.00 (8th spin wins, nice - requalify)
+2,406.00
+2,278.00
+2,168.00 (qualified)
+2,393.00 (27th spin wins, requalify)
+2,425.00
+2,449.00
+2,383.00
+2,294.00 (qualified)
-181.00 (135 spins to win :( !!! but at least balance is near 0.00)
-153.00
-119.00
-88.00
-120.00
-204.00 (qualified)
-954.00 (64 spins to win) (requalify)
-1,064.00
-1,058.00
-1,061.00
-1,050.00
-1,041.00
-1,033.00
-1,069.00
-1,073.00 (qualified)
-1,423.00 (requalify)
-1,444.00
-1,472.00 (qualified)
-1,222.00 (won and requalify)
-1,187.00
-1,205.00
-1,201.00
-1,208.00
-1,187.00
-1,171.00
-1,254.00
-1,236.00
-1,221.00
-1,198.00
-1,167.00
-1,157.00
-1,145.00
-1,131.00
-1,122.00
-1,205.00
-1,217.00 (qualified)
-2,192.00
We have now completed 6,440 total spins.
#1, which is our played number has shown 170 times (expected 174.05)
giving it a standard deviation of -0.31
We placed a total of 26,456.00 on the table - which
means an average of 4.1 units per spin.
The house edge expected balance at this point is
-$713.62 and we are at -$2,192.00
=========================================
=========================================
Final analysis - this along with any other form of
trying to predict a win (or a trend) does not work
out long term, although it does give some nice/fast
wins at times making it appear to be promising.
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