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Another "Hot" vs "Cold" test
This test was conducted as such :
148 spins were run off without betting. (this equals 4 complete cycles of 37 spins)
For the "Hot" test, the number was played that had shown the most to this point. For the "Cold" test, the number was played that had shown the least to this point.
A session of 148 spins were run off and then the numbers played were changed (if need be)
This continued on in this fashion for 5,032 total spins.
This equals 4,884 played spins (132 complete cycles) plus the original tracking of 148 spins (4 complete cycles)
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Results ?
First the mathamatical expected values :
4,884 played spins @ 1 unit on 1 number 132 spins are expected to be won. 4,752 spins are expected to be lost. Final balance is expected to be -132 units (this is what is expected according to the math)
Now - the "Hot" number test results : 4,884 played spins @ 1 unit on 1 number 119 actual wins (132 expected) Final balance -600 units (-132 expected)
Now - the "Cold" number test results : 4,884 played spins @ 1 unit on 1 number 138 actual wins (132 expected) Final balance +84 units (-132 expected)
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| HOT |
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| COLD |
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Now, let's compare the two, along with the expected in another chart -
The black line is the "zero profit" line. The blue line is the "cold" method line. The green line is the "mathamatical expected" line. The red line is the "hot" method line.
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Now, I understand that as many tests that are run and results posted - the "hot" number crowd will argue against the results.
The other crowd who doesn't believe in bet selection at all will argue against the results as well.
I don't intend to start or continue a "battle", only post results and test ideas.
Thanks again for stopping in :)  |
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