Under review or in revision
Mandel, D. R. Predicting blame assignment in a case of harm caused by negligence.
Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. Gains loom larger than losses in forecasted risk taking.
Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. Mode of trial: Multiple expressions of rational judgment and choice under uncertainty.
Mandel, D. R., Vartanian, O., Adams, B. D., & Thomson, M. H. Conflict resolution by UN military observer teams: Does victim proximity escalate commitment to saving lives?
Mandel,
D. R., & Vartanian, O. Weighting of contingency information in
causal judgment: Evidence of hypothesis dependence and use of a
positive-test strategy.
Mandel, D. R. Toward a concept of risk for effective military decision making.
Books and Special Issues
Vartanian, O., & Mandel, D. R. (Eds.) (in preparation). Neuroscience of decision making [in the "Contemporary Approaches in Cognitive Neuroscience" series]. New York: Psychology Press.
Mandel, D. R., & Dhami, M. K. (Eds.) (2005). Psychological perspectives on threats to democracy. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 5(1).
Mandel, D. R., Hilton, D. J., & Catellani, P. (Eds.) (2005). The psychology of counterfactual thinking. New York: Routledge.
A review of The Psychology of Counterfactual Thinking by Prof. Terry Connolly from the Department of Psychology at University of Arizona is available in the Summer 2007 edition of The European Association for Decision Making Bulletin.
Papers (* = peer reviewed)
In press
*Mandel, D. R., & Vartanian, O. (in press). Taboo or tragic: Effect of tradeoff type on moral choice, conflict, and confidence, Mind & Society. doi:10.1007/s11299-007-0037-3
2008
*Mandel, D. R. (2008). Violations of coherence in subjective probability: A representational and assessment processes account. Cognition, 106(1), 130-156.
2007
*Dhami, M. K., Mandel, D. R., & Sothmann, K. (2007). An evaluation of post-adoption services. Children and Youth Services Review, 29(2), 162-179.
*Mandel,
D. R. (2007). Differential focus in causal and counterfactual thinking:
Different possibilities or different functions? Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30(5), 460-461.
*Mandel,
D. R. (2007). Nested-sets theory, full stop: Explaining performance on
Bayesian inference tasks without dual-systems assumptions. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30(3), 275-276.
Mandel, D. R. (2007). Toward a concept of risk for effective military decision making. DRDC Technical report 2007-124 [unclassified].
*Williams,
J. J., & Mandel, D. R. (2007). Do evaluation frames improve the
quality of conditional probability judgment? In D. S. McNamara & J.
G. Trafton (Eds.), Proceedings of the 29th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1653-1658), Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.
2006
*Dhami, M.K., Mandel, D. R., Loewenstein, G., & Ayton, P. (2006). Prisoners' positive illusions of their post-release success. Law and Human Behavior, 30, 631-647.
*Mandel, D. R. (2006). Economic transactions among friends: Asymmetric generosity but not agreement in buyers' and sellers' offers. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 50(4), 584-606.
Featured in the Harvard Negotiation Newsletter, 10(3), 12, March 2007 (see Research Summary "Dealing with Friends").
*Mandel, D. R., & Vartanian, O. (2006). Is the weighting of contingency data contingent on the hypothesis assessed? In R. Sun & N. Miyake (Eds.), Proceedings of the 28th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 2652). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.
*White, K., Lehman, D.R., Hemphill, K. J., Mandel, D. R., & Lehman, A. M. (2006). Causal attributions, perceived control, and psychological adjustment: A study of Chronic Fatigue Syndrome. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 36(1), 75-99.
2005
Dhami, M. K., Mandel, D. R., & Souza, K. (2005). Escape from reality: Prisoner's counterfactual thinking about crime, justice and punishment. In D. R. Mandel, D. J Hilton, & P. Catellani (Eds.), The psychology of counterfactual thinking (pp. 165-182). New York: Routledge.
*Mandel, D. R. (2005). Are risk assessments of a terrorist attack coherent? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 11(4), 277-288.
Featured September 24, 2007, in the Washington Post.
Mandel, D. R. (2005). Counterfactual and causal explanation: From early theoretical views to new frontiers. In D. R. Mandel, D. J Hilton, & P. Catellani (Eds.), The psychology of counterfactual thinking (pp. 11-23). New York: Routledge.
*Mandel, D. R. (2005). Threats to democracy: A judgment and decision making perspective. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 5(1), 209-222.
*Mandel, D. R., & Dhami, M. K.(2005). Introduction to the special issue, psychological perspectives on threats to democracy. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 5(1), 205-207.
*Mandel, D. R., & Dhami, M. K. (2005). "What I did" versus "What I might have done": Effect of factual and counterfactual thinking on blame, guilt, and shame in prisoners. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 41, 637-645.
Mandel, D. R., Hilton, D. J., & Catellani, P. (2005). Introduction. In D. R. Mandel, D. J Hilton, & P. Catellani (Eds.), The psychology of counterfactual thinking (pp. 1-7). New York: Routledge.
2004
Mandel, D.R. (2004). Social psychological perspectives on the instigation of collective violence. In D. Munos-Rojas, J.-M. Falomir, & X. Chryssochoou (Eds.) Proceedings of the Conference on War and Peace: Social Psychological Approaches to Armed Conflict and Humanitarian Issues (pp. 183-190). Geneva, Switzerland: International Committee of the Red Cross and University of Geneva.
Mandel, D. R. (2004). Unanimity may be improbable; dictatorship is worse: Comment on The Dangers of Unanimity by R. B. Zajonc. Dialogue, 19(2), 28-29.
2003
Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. (2003). Adoption Support Program Queen Alexandra Centre for Children’s Health: Evaluation of Client Services 2003 Final Report (Technical report).
*Mandel, D. R. (2003). Counterfactuals, emotion, and context. Cognition & Emotion, 17, 139-159.
*Mandel, D. R. (2003). Effect of counterfactual and factual thinking on causal judgments. Thinking & Reasoning, 9, 245-265.
*Mandel, D. R. (2003). Judgment dissociation theory: An analysis of differences in causal, counterfactual
, and covariational reasoning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 137, 419-434.
*Mandel, D. R. (2003). Simulating history: The problem of contingency. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 3, 177-180.
Mandel, D.R. (2003). The obedience alibi. In M.C. Cardwell, E.Clark and C.Meldrum (Eds.). Psychology for AS-level (3rd ed., p. 174). London: Collins.
Spellman, B. A., & Mandel, D. R. (2003). Causal reasoning, Psychology of. In Nadel, L. (Ed.) Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science (Vol. 1, pp. 461-466). London: Nature Publishing Group.
2002
*Lehman, A. M., Lehman, D. R., Hemphill, K. J., Mandel, D. R., & Cooper, L. M. (2002). Illness experience, depression, and anxiety in chronic fatigue syndrome. Journal of Psychosomatic Research, 52, 461-465.
*Mandel, D. R. (2002). Beyond mere ownership: Transaction demand as a moderator of the endowment effect. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 88, 737-747.
*Mandel, D. R. (2002). Evil and the instigation of collective violence. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 2, 101-108.
Mandel, D. R. (2002). Instigators of genocide: Examining Hitler from a social psychological perspective. In L. S. Newman and R. Erber (Eds.), Understanding genocide: The social psychology of the Holocaust (pp. 259-284). New York: Oxford University Press.
*Villejoubert, G., & Mandel, D. R. (2002). The inverse fallacy: An account of deviations from Bayes's theorem and the additivity principle. Memory & Cognition, 30, 171-178. Erratum
2001
*Mandel, D. R. (2001). Gain-loss framing and choice: Separating outcome formulations from descriptor formulations. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 85, 56-76.
2000
*Mandel, D. R. (2000). On the meaning and function of normative analysis: Conceptual blur in the rationality debate? Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 23, 686-687.
1999
*Spellman, B. A., & Mandel, D. R. (1999). When possibility informs reality: Counterfactual thinking as a cue to causality. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 8, 120-123.
[Reprinted in: Spellman, B. A., & Willingham, D. T. (Eds). (2005). Current Directions in Cognitive Science: Readings from the American Psychological Society. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Education / Prentice Hall.]
1998
*Mandel, D. R. (1998). The obedience alibi: Milgram's account of the Holocaust reconsidered. Analyse & Kritik: Zeitschrift für Sozialwissenschaften, 20, 74-94.
*Mandel, D. R., & Lehman, D. R. (1998). Integration of contingency information in judgments of cause, covariation, and probability. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 127, 269-285.
1997
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1996
*Mandel, D. R., & Lehman, D. R. (1996). Counterfactual thinking and ascriptions of cause and preventability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 71, 450-463.
1995
*Mandel, D. R. (1995). Chaos theory, sensitive dependence, and the logistic equation. American Psychologist, 50, 106-107.
*Mandel, D. R., Lehman, D. R., & Yuille, J. C. (1995). Reasoning about the removal of a child from home: A comparison of police officers and social workers. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 25, 906-921.
1994
*Mandel, D. R., Lehman, D. R., & Yuille, J. C. (1994). Should this child be removed from home? Hypothesis generation and information seeking as predictors of case decisions. Child Abuse & Neglect, 18, 1051-1062.
*Mill, D., Gray, T., & Mandel, D. R. (1994). The influence of research methods and statistics courses on everyday reasoning and belief in unsubstantiated phenomena. Canadian Journal of Behavioural Science, 26, 246-258.
1993
*Lehman, D. R., Davis, C. G., DeLongis, A., Wortman, C. B., Bluck, S., Mandel, D. R., & Ellard, J. H. (1993). Positive and negative life changes following bereavement and their relations to adjustment. Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology, 12, 90-112.
*Mandel, D. R., Axelrod, L. J., & Lehman, D. R. (1993). Integrative complexity in reasoning about the Persian Gulf War and the accountability-to-skeptical-audience hypothesis. Journal of Social Issues, 49, 201-215.