And the inevitable answer from the front seat: No. Promises of a thriving hydrogen economy — one that supports not only cars and trucks, but cellphones, computers, homes and whole neighborhoods — date back long before this presidency, and the road to fulfilling them stretches far beyond its horizon.
The Department of Energy projects the nation's consumption of fossil fuels will continue to rise — increasing 34 percent by 2030. When burned, these carbon-based fuels release millions of tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, where the gas traps heat and is believed to contribute to global warming.
At first glance, hydrogen would seem an ideal substitute for these problematic fuels. Pound for pound, hydrogen contains almost three times as much energy as natural gas, and when consumed its only emission is pure, plain water. But unlike oil and gas, hydrogen is not a fuel. It is a way of storing or transporting energy. You have to make it before you can use it — generally by extracting hydrogen from fossil fuels, or by using electricity to split it from water.
And while oil and gas are easy to transport in pipelines and fuel tanks — they pack a lot of energy into a dense, stable form — hydrogen presents a host of technical and economic challenges. The lightest gas in the universe isn't easy to corral. Skeptics say that hydrogen promises to be a needlessly expensive solution for applications for which simpler, cheaper and cleaner alternatives already exist. "You have to step back and ask, 'What is the point?'" says Joseph Romm, executive director of the Center for Energy & Climate Solutions.
Though advocates promote hydrogen as a panacea for energy needs ranging from consumer electronics to home power, its real impact will likely occur on the nation's highways. After all, transportation represents two-thirds of U.S. oil consumption. "We're working on biofuels, ethanol, biodiesel and other technologies," says David Garmin, assistant secretary of energy, "but it's only hydrogen, ultimately, over the long term, that can delink light-duty transportation from petroleum entirely."
The Big Three U.S. automakers, as well as Toyota, Honda, BMW and Nissan, have all been preparing for that day. Fuel cell vehicles can now travel 300 miles on 17.6 pounds of hydrogen and achieve speeds of up to 132 mph. But without critical infrastructure, there will be no hydrogen economy. And the practical employment of hydrogen power involves major hurdles at every step — production, storage, distribution and use. Here's how those challenges stack up.
HURDLE 1: Production
The
United States already uses some 10 million tons of hydrogen each year
for industrial purposes, such as making fertilizer and refining
petroleum. If hydrogen-powered vehicles are to become the norm, we'll
need at least 10 times more. The challenge will be to produce it in an
efficient and environmentally friendly way.
FOSSIL FUELS: At present, 95 percent of America's hydrogen is produced from natural gas. Through a process called steam methane reformation, high temperature and pressure break the hydrocarbon into hydrogen and carbon oxides — including carbon dioxide, which is released into the atmosphere as a greenhouse gas. Over the next 10 or 20 years, fossil fuels most likely will continue to be the main feedstock for the hydrogen economy. And there's the rub: Using dirty energy to make clean energy doesn't solve the pollution problem-it just moves it around. "As a CO2 reducer, hydrogen stinks," Romm says.
Capturing that carbon dioxide and trapping it underground would make the process more environmentally friendly. In July, General Electric and BP Amoco PLC announced plans to develop as many as 15 power plants over the next 10 years that will strip hydrogen from natural gas to generate electricity; the waste carbon dioxide will be pumped into depleted oil and gas fields. And the Department of Energy is largely funding a 10-year, $950 million project to build a coal-fed plant that will produce hydrogen to make electricity, and likewise lock away carbon dioxide to achieve what it bills as "the world's first zero-emissions fossil fuel plant."
Whether carbon dioxide will remain underground in large-scale operations remains to be seen. In addition, natural gas is a limited resource; the cost of hydrogen would be subject to its price fluctuations.
ELECTROLYSIS: Most of the remainder of today's hydrogen is made by electrically splitting water into its constituent parts, hydrogen and oxygen. This year, a PM Breakthrough Award went to GE's Richard Bourgeois for designing an electrolyzer that could drastically reduce the cost of that process. But because fossil fuels generate more than 70 percent of the nation's electrical power, hydrogen produced from the grid would still be a significant source of greenhouse gas. If solar, wind or other renewable resources generate the electricity, hydrogen could be produced without any carbon emissions at all.
NUCLEAR POWER: Next-generation nuclear power plants
will reach temperatures high enough to produce hydrogen as well as
electricity, either by adding steam and heat to the electrolysis
process, or by adding heat to a series of chemical reactions that split
the hydrogen from water. Though promising in the lab, this technology
won't be proved until the first Generation IV plants come on line —
around 2020.
COMPRESSION: Some hydrogen-powered vehicles use tanks
of room-temperature hydrogen compressed to an astounding 10,000 psi.
The Sequel, which GM unveiled in January 2005, carries 8 kilograms of
compressed hydrogen this way-enough to power the vehicle for 300 miles.
Refueling with compressed hydrogen is relatively fast and simple. But
even compressed, hydrogen requires large-
volume tanks. They take up four to five times as much space as a gas
tank with an equivalent mileage range. Then again, fuel cell cars can
accommodate bigger tanks because they contain fewer mechanical parts.
SOLID-STATE: Certain compounds can trap hydrogen
molecules at room temperature and pressure, then release them upon
demand. So far, the most promising research has been conducted with a
class of materials called metal hydrides. These materials are stable,
but heavy: A 700-pound tank might hold a few hours' fuel. However,
exotic compounds now being studied could provide a breakthrough to make
hydrogen storage truly practical. "High-pressure tanks are a stopgap
until we can develop materials that will allow us to do solid-state
storage efficiently," says Dan O'Connell, a director of GM's hydrogen
vehicle program.
HURDLE 3: Distribution
LOCAL PRODUCTION: Given the difficulty of transporting
hydrogen, why not just make it where you need it? That's what's done at
roughly half the 36 hydrogen fueling stations currently operating in
the U.S. Four rely on natural gas; the rest use electrolysis. In 2003,
Honda introduced a Home Energy Station that performs steam reformation
right in the owner's garage-but because natural gas is the feedstock,
it still releases carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.
A greenhouse gas-free approach would use on-site wind or solar
power to produce hydrogen through electrolysis. Honda also designed a
solar-powered hydrogen refueling station, which has been operating at
the company's California lab since 2001. If the national power supply
becomes more eco-friendly, clean electrolysis could run off the grid.
ON-BOARD PRODUCTION: Several prototype vehicles make
their own hydrogen from stored hydrocarbons, eliminating the question
of distribution altogether. The DaimlerChrysler NECAR 3, for example,
produces hydrogen from methanol. Researchers are also experimenting
with more futuristic on-board production technologies, which combine
ordinary water with reagents like boron or aluminum to produce
hydrogen, oxygen and a metal oxide residue. These, however, are still a
long way off. HURDLE 4: Use
Once the technical hurdles are crossed, hydrogen's huge price tag
may still make the technology prohibitive. A recent analysis by the
Department of Energy projected that a supply network adequate for even
40 percent of the light-duty fleet could cost more than $500 billion.
And that leads to a classic chicken-and-egg problem: How do you get
millions of Americans to buy hydrogen-powered vehicles before there's
an infrastructure in place to refuel them? And how do you get energy
companies to build that infrastructure before there's a potential
customer base?
"Companies are not willing to invest if they don't think
there's going to be a market," says Daniel Sperling, director of the
Institute of Transportation Studies at UC Davis. "The government has to
be behind it. There has to be leadership."
There's reason to hope the technology will advance even without
much government involvement. Hydrogen fuel cells already replace
batteries in niche equipment, such as TV cameras and forklifts, and
provide power at remote locations, such as at cellphone towers. They
even power the police station in New York's Central Park. As these
applications continue to develop, they will force advances in
technology that will make hydrogen vehicles more feasible. Even then,
hydrogen might make the most sense for fleet vehicles that don't
require widespread infrastructure for service and refueling.
Ultimately, hydrogen may be just one part of a whole suite of
energy alternatives. Any one of them will involve investing heavily in
new infrastructure. Though the price tag will be steep, we can't afford
oil's environmental, economic and political drawbacks any longer.
At room temperature and pressure, hydrogen's density is so low that it
contains less than one-three-hundredth the energy in an equivalent
volume of gasoline. In order to fit into a reasonably sized storage
tank, hydrogen has to be somehow squeezed into a denser form.
LIQUEFACTION: Chilled to near absolute zero, hydrogen
gas turns into a liquid containing one-quarter the energy in an
equivalent volume of gasoline. The technology is well-proven: For
decades, NASA has used liquid hydrogen to power vehicles such as the
space shuttle. The cooling process requires a lot of energy,
though-roughly a third of the amount held in the hydrogen. Storage
tanks are bulky, heavy and expensive.
Even
in portable form, hydrogen is a tough substance to move from place to
place. It can embrittle steel and other metals, weakening them to the
point of fracture.
TRUCKING AND RAIL: Currently, most hydrogen is
transported either in liquid form by tankers or as compressed gas in
cylinders by trailers. Both methods are inefficient. Trucking
compressed hydrogen 150 miles, for instance, burns diesel equivalent to
11 percent of the energy the hydrogen stores. It also requires a lot of
round trips: A 44-ton vehicle that can carry enough gasoline to refuel
800 cars could only carry enough hydrogen to fuel 80 vehicles.

CLEAN FUEL:
This fueling station in Burlington, Vt., uses electricity to convert
water into hydrogen for powering fuel cell cars. It is part of a
Department of Energy program for testing alternative fuels in colder
climates.
PIPELINES: One way to avoid this endless
back-and-forth would be to send the hydrogen through a pipeline. About
700 miles of hydrogen pipelines now operate in the States, generally
near large users such as oil refineries. The longest in the world is a
250-mile line between Belgium and France. Treating pipelines to protect
them from embrittlement and high pressure makes them expensive up
front-about $1 million per mile. But once built, they are the cheapest
way to deliver high volumes of hydrogen.
Once hydrogen reaches consumers, is there anything they can do with it
except drive vehicles? Home energy generation is one other option. The
question is whether hydrogen would be more practical than current
methods. Hydrogen produced by steam reformation or by electrolysis
loses energy when it is converted into electricity. The resulting
efficiency is roughly equal to that of today's power plants — which pay
a lot less for raw materials. Direct generation of electricity through
wind and solar power will also be more efficient for most stationary
applications. That leaves transportation as the most promising use for
hydrogen.
INTERNAL COMBUSTION: The most straight-forward
approach is to burn hydrogen in an adapted model of your garden-variety
internal-combustion engine (ICE). Since little modification is
required, these engines are relatively cheap, and 25 percent more
efficient than gasoline-powered engines. BMW built its first hydrogen
ICE back in the 1970s, and the concept still has legs: Ford began
production of a hydrogen ICE shuttle bus last July.
FUEL CELL: First invented in 1839, a fuel cell
combines hydrogen and oxygen to generate electricity without any moving
parts. Several different varieties exist, but only the proton exchange
membrane (PEM) fuel cell is lightweight and responsive enough to be
practical for vehicle use. Though twice as efficient as ICEs, PEM fuel
cells are hindered by high prices — even in mass production, they would
currently cost about $36,000 each.

GREEN BEER:
The four 250-kilowatt hydrogen fuel cells at the Sierra Nevada Brewery
in Chico, Calif., run on a combination of natural gas and methane. They
generate enough electricity to power the entire production plant.
NATURAL GAS
NUCLEAR
SOLAR
WIND
BIOMASS
COAL
Gas station-size facilities using steam reformation
Very High Temperature Reactors providing heat for electrolysis or for thermochemical cycles
Photovoltaic systems providing electricity for electrolysis with 10% efficiency
Turbines producing electricity for electrolysis, assuming they operate at 30% capacity
Gasification plants using steam reformation
FutureGen plants using coal gasification then steam reformation
Raw
Materials
Required15.9 million
cu. ft. of natural gas — only a fraction of current U.S. annual consumption240,000
tons of unenriched uranium, five times today's global production2500
kilowatt-hours of sun per square meter per year, found in the Southwestern states of the Sun Belt7
meters per second average wind speed, typically found in many parts of the country1.5 billion
tons of dry biomass (initially byproducts such as peanut shells, then concentrated crops)1 billion
tons of coal — which would require doubling current U.S. domestic production
Infrastructure
777,000
facilities; though a more likely scenario would include a mix of larger central production plants2000
600-megawatt next-generation nuclear power plants; only 103 nuclear power plants operate in the States today113 million
40-kilowatt systems, covering 50% of more than 300 million acres — an area three size the size of Nevada1 million
2-megawatt wind turbines, covering 5% of 120 million acres, or an area larger than California3300
gasification plants, and up to 113.4 million acres — or 11% of U.S. farmland — dedicated to growing the biomass1000
275-megawatt plants; only 12 sites were proposed for a DOE demonstration plant — not all met the requirements
Total Cost
$1 trillion
$840 billion
$22 trillion
$3 trillion
$565 billion
$500 billion
Price Per GGE
(Gallon of Gas Equivalent)$3.00
$2.50
$9.50
$3.00
$1.90
$1
CO2 Emissions
measured in tons300 million
0
0
0
600 million*
600 million**
*Zero net emissions because crops pull CO2 from the air. **90% will be captured and stored underground.
Time Frame
There are four fueling stations that now produce hydrogen from natural gas.
The first Very High Temperature Reactor in the U.S. will be built at Idaho National Laboratory in 2021.
Honda built an experimental solar-powered hydrogen refueling station at its lab in California in 2001.
A 100-kilowatt turbine is now being built at the National Renewable Energy Lab in Colorado.
Government funded bio-mass research will be transferred to private industry in 2015.
By 2012, the first FutureGen demonstration plant should be running at 50% capacity.

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A single fuel cell produces just over 1 volt, so hundreds are
stacked together for typical applications.
PEM fuel cells, used in NASA's Gemini flights in the 1960s, are the
design of choice for fuel cell cars, but other configurations are
suited for applications ranging from laptops to power plants.
Electrolysis is the exact opposite process. Electricity from a power supply splits incoming water into protons, electrons and oxygen, which is released as a gas. Electrons reunite with protons at the cathode to produce hydrogen gas.
Other electrolysis designs being developed use solid-oxide membranes instead of PEMs, which improve efficiency but require operating temperatures of 900 to 1500 F — heat that could be supplied by nuclear reactors.